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Indonesia Rising

In the beginning of the year, all eyes on Indonesian politics and the election
were on Japan but the Nikkei 225 has been cycle. While fuel subsidies were cut back
a major disappointment down 6% so far sharply reducing pressure on the
this year. Meanwhile China has done well country's budget and currency, other
and Indonesia is the Asia-Pacific reforms have been pulled back. The reason
region's stock best market this year up is that President Yudhoyono party has
27% this year. This is despite another only a 10% of parliamentary seats and
punishing tsunami and concerns about bird needs to have the cooperation of other
flu. coalition partners to maintain power even
Americans, in particular, seem to miss though the next presidential election is
the story of this 3,200 mile archipelago scheduled for 2009. Indonesia has taken
and third largest democracy in the world the brave step of opening its financial
Indonesia's President Yudhoyono, a services sector to majority investment by
combination of General, intellectual and international investors but it also needs
bureaucrat, has made real progress in to open up other areas such as
fostering market reforms. Many would infrastructure and power. The most
categorize Indonesia as a relatively poor important reform to make Indonesia more
country but I beg to differ. I have attractive to international capital is to
toured Indonesia from tip to tip and it set up a transparent and clear approval
is a country with many assets and great process to cut out red tape and
promise. Rich in natural resources, a corruption. Then reinvigorate a
talented and young population, previously announced plan to privatize
strategically positioned to benefit from some of Indonesia's 145 largest
Asian growth, a size three times the that state-owned companies to increase their
of Texas and the world's fourth largest profitability and raise more government
population. As a relatively young revenue. Finally, why not follow ten
democracy and developing economy it lacks other countries by putting in place a
an important ingredient for economic flat tax to rein in bureaucracy, stymie
growth: capital and a financial system to corruption and stimulate growth and
allocate it efficiently. productivity.
Lower interest rates and strong consumer Standard & Poor's Ratings Services
spending has led to a real economic recently raised Indonesia's long-term
growth rate of 6%. The realization that foreign-currency credit rating by one
Indonesia is taking steps to better mange notch to double-B-minus. S&P said the
its natural resources has also caught the upgrades reflect Indonesia's improving
eyes of global investors. Indonesia has fiscal and external performance, which
10 billion barrels of proven and has led to a declining debt burden. It
potential oil reserves and 180 trillion also said the size of the government debt
cubic feet of proven and potential and high external debt continue to
reserves. After five years of tough constrain the ratings.
negotiations, Exxon Mobil and Pertamina The Indonesian stock market has been one
finally inked an agreement earlier this of Asia's best this year up 27%.
year. This should help Indonesia, a Investors should take a look at the
member of OPEC, to ramp up production and closed-end Indonesian Fund (IF) as the
move towards being a net exporter of best vehicle to invest in Indonesia. It
energy. is managed by Credit Suisse Asset
Exxon Mobil has operated in Indonesia for Management and trades at a premium of 5%
a century and invested $17 billion in the to net asset value with a price of $7.81.
country, agreed to explore the dormant The key to a stronger Indonesian economy
Cepu area years ago and by using advanced is more trade and investment. American
technology, found proven oil reserves of companies and investors can play a key
600 million barrels and 1.7 trillion role in maintaining America's influence
cubic feet of gas. At peak production, in Indonesia which is being undercut by
Cepu would provide the GOI about $2 powerful Chinese economic diplomacy. In
million per day in revenues, add 180,000 fact, we need to pay more attention to
barrels a day in daily production and this key Muslim nation with a secular
eliminate gas shortages in East Java. democracy than the Chinese do.
Investors have to also keep a close eye




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